Demographic Trends in Southern Rural Mozambique
Author Information
Author(s): Nhacolo Ariel Q, Nhalungo Delino A, Sacoor Charfudin N, Aponte John J, Thompson Ricardo, Alonso Pedro
Primary Institution: Centro de Investigação em Saúde da Manhiça, Ministério de Saúde, Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique
Hypothesis
The study aims to assess the effectiveness of the Demographic Surveillance System (DSS) in reporting demographic measures typical of southern Mozambique.
Conclusion
The study found that the population in Manhiça district has characteristics typical of southern rural Mozambique, with high mortality rates and a predominance of young people.
Supporting Evidence
- The population in Manhiça is predominantly young, with 44% under 15 years old.
- Fertility rates in Manhiça have remained stable at around 5 children per woman.
- Adult mortality has increased significantly, with life expectancy decreasing from 53 to 46 years.
Takeaway
This study looked at how many people live and die in a small area of Mozambique over several years, finding that many are young and that more men are leaving for work.
Methodology
Data from the Demographic Surveillance System (DSS) in Manhiça was used to estimate levels and trends of fertility, mortality, and migration from 1998 to 2005.
Potential Biases
Potential biases include underreporting of certain demographic events and the inability to test significance for some data sources.
Limitations
The study faced limitations such as differences in area sizes and time periods compared, and the inability to measure statistical significance for some comparisons.
Participant Demographics
The population under surveillance included 79,783 residents in Manhiça, with a young age structure and a lower sex ratio compared to Maputo province.
Statistical Information
P-Value
0.001
Confidence Interval
1.291 - 1.578
Statistical Significance
p<0.001
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
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