Economic Impact of a Bioterrorist Attack
Author Information
Author(s): Arnold F. Kaufmann, Martin I. Meltzer, George P. Schmid
Primary Institution: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Hypothesis
What is the economic impact of a bioterrorist attack using different biological agents?
Conclusion
The economic impact of a bioterrorist attack can range from $477.7 million to $26.2 billion per 100,000 persons exposed, depending on the agent used.
Supporting Evidence
- The economic impact of a bioterrorist attack can range from $477.7 million per 100,000 persons exposed in the brucellosis scenario to $26.2 billion per 100,000 persons exposed in the anthrax scenario.
- Rapid implementation of a postattack prophylaxis program is the single most important means of reducing economic losses.
- Delaying the start of a prophylaxis program significantly increases potential losses.
Takeaway
If a bad guy uses germs to attack a city, it could cost a lot of money and lives, and we need to be ready to help people quickly.
Methodology
A model was constructed to compare the impact of three biological agents when released as aerosols in a suburban area.
Limitations
The model used low estimates for all factors affecting costs and did not include long-term effects of illness.
Participant Demographics
The target population was a suburb with 100,000 people exposed.
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