Estimates of Outcomes Up to Ten Years after Stroke: Analysis from the Prospective South London Stroke Register
2011

Long-term Outcomes After Stroke

Sample size: 3373 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Charles D. A. Wolfe, Siobhan L. Crichton, Peter U. Heuschmann, Christopher J. McKevitt, André M. Toschke, Andy P. Grieve, Anthony G. Rudd

Primary Institution: King's College London

Hypothesis

What are the long-term outcomes for stroke survivors up to ten years after their initial stroke?

Conclusion

Between 20% and 30% of stroke survivors experience poor outcomes up to ten years after their stroke.

Supporting Evidence

  • 20%–30% of stroke survivors had poor outcomes over 10 years of follow-up.
  • The highest rate of disability was observed 7 days after stroke.
  • Rates of inactivity and cognitive impairment declined up to 1 year after stroke.
  • Anxiety and depression rates fluctuated over time, affecting about a third of the population.
  • Age was associated with higher rates of disability, inactivity, and cognitive impairment.

Takeaway

Many people who survive a stroke continue to have problems for a long time, like difficulty moving or thinking. This study shows that these issues can last for many years.

Methodology

Data were collected from the South London Stroke Register, which documented all first-ever strokes from 1995 to 2006, assessing outcomes like disability, cognitive impairment, and mental health over time.

Potential Biases

Potential selection bias due to inclusion of only patients referred to hospitals or rehabilitation settings.

Limitations

The study may be affected by loss to follow-up and does not compare outcomes with non-stroke populations.

Participant Demographics

The study included a diverse population with 72.7% White, 19.1% Black, and 5.5% from other ethnic groups, with a mean age of 70.3 years.

Statistical Information

Confidence Interval

95% CI for cumulative survival rates at 1, 5, and 10 years were 63.7%, 42.8%, and 24.0%, respectively.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pmed.1001033

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