Externally validated clinical prediction models for estimating treatment outcomes for patients with a mood, anxiety or psychotic disorder: systematic review and meta-analysis
2024

Review of Clinical Prediction Models for Mental Health Treatment Outcomes

Sample size: 28 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Burghoorn Desi G., Booij Sanne H., Schoevers Robert A., Riese Harriƫtte

Primary Institution: University Medical Center Groningen, Department of Psychiatry, Interdisciplinary Center Psychopathology and Emotion Regulation (ICPE), University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands

Hypothesis

How do externally validated clinical prediction models estimate treatment outcomes for mood, anxiety, and psychotic disorders?

Conclusion

Few models are ready for implementation in clinical practice, highlighting the need for more external validation studies.

Supporting Evidence

  • Twenty-eight studies were included in the review.
  • The overall discrimination performance of the meta-analysis was fair with wide prediction intervals.
  • Models predicting outcomes for individuals diagnosed with depressive disorders showed lower discrimination than those for other disorders.
  • Two studies were rated as low concern for both risk of bias and applicability.

Takeaway

This study looked at different models that help predict how well treatments work for people with mental health issues, and found that not many of them are ready to be used in real life yet.

Methodology

Systematic review and meta-analysis of 28 studies focusing on externally validated clinical prediction models.

Potential Biases

Many studies had high concerns regarding bias due to poor reporting and handling of missing data.

Limitations

High risk of bias and applicability concerns in many studies due to strict inclusion criteria and methodological issues.

Participant Demographics

Most studies focused on adults with mood disorders, with some including adolescents.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.05

Confidence Interval

[0.46; 0.89]

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1192/bjo.2024.789

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