Socioeconomic Factors and Cocaine Cultivation in Nariño, Colombia
Author Information
Author(s): Grajales-Marín Andrés Fernando, Sepúlveda-Murillo Fabio Humberto, Tapia Alex, Tabares Alexander
Primary Institution: University of Medellin, Medellin, Colombia
Hypothesis
To what extent does the spatial distribution of socioeconomic conditions explain coca cultivation patterns in the state of Nariño?
Conclusion
The study found that areas with high poverty and low education levels have a higher concentration of coca cultivation, indicating a need for targeted public policies.
Supporting Evidence
- The Gini index in Colombia was 0.556 in 2022, indicating high inequality.
- Nariño accounts for 65% of Colombia's cocaine production.
- The study constructed composite indices for education, health, public services, and economic conditions.
Takeaway
In Nariño, Colombia, places with less education and more poverty grow more coca plants, so helping these communities could reduce coca farming.
Methodology
The study used spatial analysis and econometric models to examine the relationship between socioeconomic indices and coca cultivation across 64 municipalities.
Potential Biases
Potential biases may arise from using data collected in different years.
Limitations
The study lacked detailed local data on social capital and armed group activity, which could enrich the analysis.
Participant Demographics
The study focused on 64 municipalities in the state of Nariño, Colombia, with a total population of 1,627,589.
Statistical Information
P-Value
p<0.0001
Statistical Significance
p<0.001
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
Want to read the original?
Access the complete publication on the publisher's website