Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineages in children and adults in 2021 and 2022
2024

Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Lineages in Children and Adults in Estonia

Sample size: 25861 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Soeorg Hiie, Abroi Aare, Päll Taavi, Dotsenko Liidia, Jaaniso Erik, Kaarna Katrin, Lahesaare Andrio, Naaber Paul, Niglas Heiki, Oopkaup Ott Eric, Peterson Hedi, Reisberg Tuuli, Sadikova Olga, Smit Steven, Talas Ulvi Gerst, Avi Radko, Lutsar Irja, Huik Kristi

Primary Institution: University of Tartu, Estonia

Hypothesis

The study aimed to describe the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and genetic diversity in children and adults in Estonia.

Conclusion

SARS-CoV-2 lineages in children and adults were similar, with regional differences and varying similarity to neighboring countries suggesting the importance of mobility in the spread.

Supporting Evidence

  • 2,630 sequences from children and 23,031 from adults were included in the study.
  • The increase in the proportion of Alpha/Delta/Omicron lineages was delayed in smaller regions.
  • Diversity was lower in non-travel-related than travel-related cases until the Delta period.
  • Similarity of lineages was delayed compared to Finland during Alpha/Omicron periods.
  • Travel-related cases peaked prior to the incidence peaks of Delta and Omicron variants.

Takeaway

The study looked at how COVID-19 variants spread among kids and adults in Estonia, finding that they spread similarly.

Methodology

The study included SARS-CoV-2 sequences from a nationwide study conducted in Estonia, analyzing data from 2021 to 2022 using multinomial logistic regression and linear regression.

Potential Biases

Potential underrepresentation of asymptomatic cases and those not seeking testing.

Limitations

The study used a small proportion of sequenced samples, which may not fully represent the population, and did not include phylogenetic analysis.

Participant Demographics

Children (<15 years) and adults (≥15 years) from various regions in Estonia.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.02

Confidence Interval

95% CI -1.0…-0.2

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pone.0316213

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