Citizen Science Reveals Unexpected Continental-Scale Evolutionary Change in a Model Organism
2011

Unexpected Evolutionary Changes in Snails Due to Climate

Sample size: 9505 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Jonathan Silvertown, Laurence Cook, Robert Cameron, Mike Dodd, Kevin McConway, Jenny Worthington, Peter Skelton, Christian Anton, Oliver Bossdorf, Bruno Baur, Menno Schilthuizen, Benoît Fontaine, Helmut Sattmann, Giorgio Bertorelle, Maria Correia, Cristina Oliveira, Beata Pokryszko, Małgorzata Ożgo, Arturs Stalažs, Eoin Gill, Üllar Rammul, Péter Sólymos, Zoltan Féher, Xavier Juan

Primary Institution: Department of Life Sciences, The Open University, Milton Keynes, United Kingdom

Hypothesis

The increase in environmental temperature might have produced selection in favour of shell morphs with a higher albedo.

Conclusion

The study found evolutionary changes in snail shell morph frequencies, but these changes were not directly linked to climate warming as initially hypothesized.

Supporting Evidence

  • The study compiled data from 6,515 historical populations and nearly 3,000 modern populations of Cepaea nemoralis.
  • Significant changes in shell morph frequencies were detected, particularly in the frequency of Unbanded and Mid-banded morphs.
  • The frequency of Yellow shells decreased slightly over time, but this change was marginally significant.
  • Changes in morph frequencies were not directly correlated with local temperature changes.
  • Behavioral thermoregulation may have buffered evolutionary responses to climate change.

Takeaway

Scientists studied snails to see how they changed over time because of climate. They found some changes, but not the ones they expected.

Methodology

The study analyzed historical and modern datasets of snail populations using generalized additive models.

Potential Biases

Potential biases may arise from the reliance on citizen science data collection.

Limitations

The study's findings may not apply universally due to local variations in environmental factors and predation pressure.

Participant Demographics

Data were collected from volunteers across 15 countries in Europe.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.036

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pone.0018927

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