Quantifying the effect of population mixing on childhood leukaemia risk: the Seascale cluster
1999

Effect of Population Mixing on Childhood Leukaemia Risk

Sample size: 119539 publication Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Dickinson H O, Parker L

Primary Institution: North of England Children's Cancer Research Unit, Department of Child Health, University of Newcastle

Hypothesis

Does population mixing increase the risk of childhood leukaemia?

Conclusion

Population mixing is a significant risk factor for childhood leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, particularly in young children.

Supporting Evidence

  • The incidence of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma was significantly higher among children born in areas with the highest levels of population mixing.
  • The model predicted up to 3.0 cases of ALL/NHL in children born in Seascale compared to six observed.
  • Population mixing accounted for over 50% of childhood leukaemia cases in Cumbria.

Takeaway

Kids who live in places where lots of different people mix together are more likely to get certain types of cancer.

Methodology

A statistical model was developed using Poisson regression to analyze childhood leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma incidence in relation to population mixing.

Participant Demographics

Children born in Cumbria, north-west England, from 1969 to 1989.

Statistical Information

Confidence Interval

95% CI 3.2–43

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/sj.bjc.6690664

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