Ecophysiological Barriers Limit Human Progression in Ten Sport Monuments
Author Information
Author(s): François-Denis Desgorces, Geoffroy Berthelot, Nour El Helou, Valérie Thibault, Marion Guillaume, Muriel Tafflet, Olivier Hermine, Jean-François Toussaint
Primary Institution: IRMES, Institut de Recherche Médicale et d'Epidémiologie du Sport, INSEP, Paris, France
Hypothesis
Performance evolution of outdoor sports events would also follow a piecewise exponential decaying pattern.
Conclusion
The study suggests that human performance in outdoor sports tends to reach asymptotic limits influenced by physiological and environmental factors.
Supporting Evidence
- The model fits progression periods with high accuracy (r2=0.95±0.07).
- Older events show a rapid improvement in early phases.
- Predictions suggest that performance limits may be reached by 2049.
Takeaway
This study looks at how human performance in sports has changed over time and predicts that we might reach our limits in the next few decades.
Methodology
Analyzed best performances of ten outdoor sports events using a piecewise exponential decaying model.
Limitations
The study may not account for all environmental factors affecting performance.
Statistical Information
P-Value
p<0.05
Confidence Interval
2049±32 years
Statistical Significance
p<0.05
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
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