Accounting for the increase in NSAID expenditure: substitution or leakage?
2006

Impact of New NSAIDs on Prescription Patterns

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Garry R. Barton, Anthony J. Avery, David K. Whynes

Primary Institution: University of Nottingham

Hypothesis

Can the increase in NSAID expenditure be attributed to the substitution of older NSAIDs with newer selective COX-2 inhibitors?

Conclusion

The introduction of celecoxib and rofecoxib led to a decrease in prescriptions for older NSAIDs, but overall NSAID prescriptions increased, suggesting leakage to unintended populations.

Supporting Evidence

  • NSAID expenditure rose by 57% over five years, reaching £247 million in 2004.
  • Total prescription volumes for selective COX-2 inhibitors were negatively correlated with older NSAIDs.
  • Overall NSAID prescriptions increased by 0.76 million items per quarter from 1999 to 2004.

Takeaway

Doctors started giving new painkillers to more people, even those who didn't need them, while older painkillers were used less.

Methodology

Quarterly prescription data from January 1999 to September 2004 was analyzed to compare prescribing volumes and expenditures of NSAIDs.

Potential Biases

Potential confounding factors affecting prescription volume were not controlled for.

Limitations

The study only looked at prescription items, not the number of patients, and did not account for dosage variations.

Participant Demographics

The study focused on NSAID prescriptions in England, but specific demographics of patients were not detailed.

Statistical Information

P-Value

<0.001

Statistical Significance

p<0.001

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1186/1478-7547-4-9

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