Perennial disaster patterns in Central Europe since 2000 and implications for hospital preparedness planning – a cross-sectional analysis
2024

Disaster Patterns in Central Europe and Hospital Preparedness

Sample size: 474 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Maik von der Forst, Maximilian Dietrich, Felix C. F. Schmitt, Erik Popp, Markus Ries

Primary Institution: Heidelberg University, Medical Faculty Heidelberg

Hypothesis

What are the seasonal disaster patterns in Central Europe and how do they impact hospital preparedness?

Conclusion

The study found that summer and winter months are the most vulnerable periods for disasters, particularly due to extreme temperatures, floods, and storms.

Supporting Evidence

  • 83% of disasters were associated with natural hazards.
  • Extreme temperatures, floods, and storms account for over 90% of natural hazard disasters.
  • Technological disasters showed no clear seasonal pattern.

Takeaway

This study looks at how disasters happen in Central Europe and how hospitals can be better prepared for them, especially during hot summers and cold winters.

Methodology

A cross-sectional analysis of disaster events from the Emergency Events Database EM-DAT for Central Europe from 2000 to 2023.

Potential Biases

Potential geographic ascertainment bias due to varying insurance coverage affecting reported disaster events.

Limitations

The analysis relies on the accuracy of EM-DAT data, which may be incomplete or subject to reporting biases.

Participant Demographics

Data includes disasters from Germany, France, Denmark, The Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Switzerland, Austria, Czech Republic, and Poland.

Statistical Information

P-Value

<0.0001

Confidence Interval

95%

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/s41598-024-84223-4

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