Discrepancies between UN models and DHS survey estimates of maternal orphan prevalence: insights from analyses of survey data from Zimbabwe
2008

Discrepancies in Maternal Orphanhood Estimates in Zimbabwe

Sample size: 11984 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Laura Robertson, Simon Gregson, Chido Madanhire, Nick Walker, Peter Mushati, George Garnett, Charles Nyamukapa

Primary Institution: Imperial College, London, UK

Hypothesis

Model-based estimates of maternal orphanhood are higher than those based on demographic and health surveys.

Conclusion

The study found that misreporting of foster parents as natural parents contributes to discrepancies in maternal orphanhood estimates.

Supporting Evidence

  • 33.3% of maternal orphans reported a living mother in later rounds.
  • 13.4% of paternal orphans reported a living father in later rounds.
  • Misreporting was more common among younger children.
  • Foster mothers were more likely to be misreported as natural mothers.

Takeaway

In Zimbabwe, many children reported as orphans might actually have living parents because foster parents sometimes claim them as their own.

Methodology

The study compared estimates of orphan prevalence from a household census with those from demographic and health surveys.

Potential Biases

There is a risk of misreporting due to the adoption effect, where foster parents are incorrectly reported as natural parents.

Limitations

The study only detected individuals reported as orphans whose parents were subsequently reported as alive, potentially underestimating the extent of underenumeration of orphans.

Participant Demographics

The study involved children aged 0-14 years from various socioeconomic strata in Manicaland, Zimbabwe.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.002

Confidence Interval

26.7 to 39.9

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1136/sti.2008.029926

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