The relationship between risk of death from clinical stage 1 cutaneous melanoma and thickness of primary tumour: no evidence for steps in risk
1991

Melanoma Survival and Tumor Thickness

Sample size: 997 publication Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): M. Keefe, R.M. Mackie

Primary Institution: University of Glasgow and Royal South Hants Hospital

Hypothesis

Is there a stepwise relationship between tumor thickness and survival in patients with clinical stage 1 cutaneous melanoma?

Conclusion

The study found no evidence for natural breakpoints in melanoma survival based on tumor thickness, suggesting a linear relationship instead.

Supporting Evidence

  • Thickness of the primary tumor is the most important independent predictor of survival from clinical Stage 1 melanoma.
  • Statistical analyses showed that age, sex, site, and thickness were significant predictors of survival.
  • The study analyzed data from the Scottish Melanoma Group, covering cases from 1979 to 1983.

Takeaway

This study looked at how thick skin cancer tumors affect survival. It found that thicker tumors mean worse survival, but there aren't clear 'steps' where survival suddenly drops.

Methodology

Cox's proportional hazards regression model was used for survival analysis, examining 997 cases of melanoma less than 9.75 mm thick.

Limitations

The study could not exclude the presence of breakpoints in the 0-2 mm range due to the nature of the data.

Participant Demographics

The sample included 997 cases with a mean age of 56 years, and a male:female ratio of 296:701.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.001

Statistical Significance

p<0.001

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