Using Prior Odds for Identifying Missing Persons
Author Information
Author(s): Bruce Budowle, Ge Jianye, Ranajit Chakraborty, Harrell Gill-King
Primary Institution: University of North Texas Health Science Center
Hypothesis
How can prior odds be effectively used in the identification of missing persons from mass disasters?
Conclusion
The forensic DNA community needs to develop guidelines for objectively computing prior odds to improve the identification of missing persons.
Supporting Evidence
- DNA typing is increasingly important for identifying highly decomposed remains.
- Prior odds should be based on a clear understanding of the variables involved in missing persons cases.
- Assumptions about eyewitness accounts and demographic data can lead to misleading prior probabilities.
Takeaway
When trying to find missing people, it's important to use all the clues we have, like DNA and eyewitness accounts, to make the best guess about who they are.
Methodology
The article discusses the use of prior odds in conjunction with DNA evidence to improve the identification of missing persons.
Potential Biases
There is a risk of bias in relying on eyewitness accounts and demographic assumptions without sufficient supporting data.
Limitations
The article highlights the lack of clear guidelines and the potential misuse of data in establishing prior probabilities.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
Want to read the original?
Access the complete publication on the publisher's website