Risk Factors for Severe Influenza, Kenya
2011

Risk Factors for Hospitalized Seasonal Influenza in Rural Western Kenya

Sample size: 254 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Ope Maurice O., Katz Mark A., Aura Barrack, Gikunju Stella, Njenga M. Kariuki, Ng'ang'a Zipporah, Vulule John, Breiman Robert F., Feikin Daniel R.

Primary Institution: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya

Hypothesis

What are the risk factors for hospitalized seasonal influenza among persons in rural western Kenya, particularly in relation to HIV infection?

Conclusion

People with HIV infection and chronic lung disease were at increased risk of hospitalized influenza in rural Kenya.

Supporting Evidence

  • HIV-infection was associated with hospitalization due to influenza with an adjusted odds ratio of 3.56.
  • Chronic lung disease was also associated with influenza hospitalization with an adjusted odds ratio of 6.83.
  • 24.5% of cases were HIV-infected compared to 12.5% of controls.

Takeaway

This study found that people with HIV and chronic lung problems are more likely to be hospitalized for the flu in Kenya.

Methodology

A case-control study was conducted with hospitalized patients and matched controls, using structured questionnaires and HIV testing.

Potential Biases

Potential selection bias in control selection and recall bias in reporting exposures.

Limitations

Recall bias may have affected the accuracy of reported exposures, and not all hospitalized patients met the screening criteria.

Participant Demographics

Median age of participants was 16 years, with a range from 5 to 69 years; 24.5% of cases were HIV-positive.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.004

Confidence Interval

95% CI 1.25–10.1

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pone.0020111

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