Riding the Wave: Reconciling the Roles of Disease and Climate Change in Amphibian Declines
2008

The Impact of Disease and Climate Change on Amphibians

publication Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Karen R. Lips, Jay Diffendorfer, Joseph R. Mendelson III, Michael W. Sears

Primary Institution: Southern Illinois University

Hypothesis

Is climate change driving the spread of the chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) and causing amphibian declines?

Conclusion

The spread of chytrid fungus, rather than climate change, best explains amphibian declines in Central and South America.

Supporting Evidence

  • Amphibian declines in Central and South America are best explained by Bd spreading through upland populations.
  • Four separate introductions of Bd into South America were identified.
  • Climate change does not appear to be driving outbreaks of chytridiomycosis.

Takeaway

A disease called chytridiomycosis is making frogs sick and causing them to disappear, and it's not because of climate change.

Methodology

The study compiled reports of amphibian declines and created maps and statistical models to analyze the spread of Bd.

Potential Biases

Potential biases in the data collection methods and the reliance on historical records may affect the conclusions.

Limitations

The study faced challenges due to limited data availability and uncertainties in the timing of amphibian declines.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p = 0.0067

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pbio.0060072

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