Capability and Dependency in the Newcastle 85+ Cohort Study
Author Information
Author(s): Carol Jagger, Joanna C Collerton, Karen Davies, Andew Kingston, Louise A Robinson, Martin P Eccles, Thomas von Zglinicki, Carmen Martin-Ruiz, Oliver F W James, Tom B L Kirkwood, John Bond
Primary Institution: Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University
Hypothesis
To estimate capability and dependency in a cohort of 85 year olds and to project future demand for care.
Conclusion
A significant proportion of the population requires 24-hour care at home or in care homes, with projections suggesting substantial increases in demand for care due to population ageing.
Supporting Evidence
- 20% of participants reported no difficulty with any of the ADLs.
- Men were more capable in performing ADLs and more independent than women.
- Future need for 24-hour care is projected to increase by 82% from 2010 to 2030.
Takeaway
Most 85-year-olds in Newcastle are quite independent, but many still need help, and the number needing full-time care is expected to rise a lot in the coming years.
Methodology
Structured interviews and assessments of daily living activities were conducted with 841 participants aged 85.
Potential Biases
Potential non-response bias may affect population estimates of care needs.
Limitations
The study is based on a specific urban area, which may limit the generalizability of the findings.
Participant Demographics
62% women, 77% lived in standard housing, 13% in sheltered housing, and 10% in care homes.
Statistical Information
Statistical Significance
p<0.05
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
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