The Extent of Illicit Cigarette Sales in Five Rural Districts of Pakistan: A Cross-sectional Study
2024

Illicit Cigarette Sales in Rural Pakistan

Sample size: 2550 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): S M Abdullah, Saeed Ansari, Melanie Boeckmann, Amina Khan, Kamran Siddiqi

Primary Institution: University of York

Hypothesis

The extent of illicit cigarette sales in rural areas of Pakistan differs from urban areas.

Conclusion

A very high proportion of noncompliant cigarette packs was found in selected rural areas of Pakistan, indicating weaker implementation of tobacco control laws.

Supporting Evidence

  • 89% of cigarette packs were noncompliant with packaging and labeling laws.
  • 41% of packs were purchased below the minimum retail price.
  • Rural areas showed a higher prevalence of noncompliant cigarette packs compared to urban areas.
  • 50% of noncompliant packs were consumed by smokers with no formal education.
  • Loose cigarette purchases were reported by 26.4% of smokers.

Takeaway

In rural Pakistan, most cigarette packs don't follow the rules and many are sold for less than the legal price, which means they might not have paid the right taxes.

Methodology

A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 85 villages, collecting data from 2550 households and analyzing cigarette packs for compliance with packaging and labeling laws.

Potential Biases

The sample may not fully represent all rural smokers, as only smokers willing to show their packs were included.

Limitations

Only one-third of surveyed smokers showed their cigarette packs, which may underestimate the share of noncompliant packs.

Participant Demographics

Smokers from various provinces in rural Pakistan, with a focus on those aged 15 and above.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.05

Confidence Interval

95% CI: 24.0 to 29.1

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1093/ntr/ntae155

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