Using MaxEnt modeling to analyze climate change impacts on Pseudomonas syringae van Hall, 1904 distribution on the global scale
2024

Climate Change and Pseudomonas syringae Distribution

Sample size: 979 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Khalaf Sameh M.H., Alqahtani Monerah S.M., Ali Mohamed R.M., Abdelalim Ibrahim T.I., Hodhod Mohamed S.

Primary Institution: October University for Modern Sciences & Arts (MSA University)

Hypothesis

What are the climatic factors influencing the distribution of Pseudomonas syringae and how will climate change affect its spread?

Conclusion

The study predicts that climate change will expand the geographic range of Pseudomonas syringae, particularly towards the poles.

Supporting Evidence

  • The MaxEnt model showed an AUC score of 0.92, indicating excellent predictive capability.
  • Key climatic parameters affecting P. syringae include temperature, precipitation, and humidity.
  • The model predicts an expansion of P. syringae's geographic range in the coming decades.
  • Future scenarios indicate increased habitat suitability for P. syringae under climate change.
  • Climate change is expected to increase the incidence of bacterial diseases in crops.

Takeaway

This study looks at how climate change will help a harmful bacteria spread to new places, which could hurt crops.

Methodology

The study used MaxEnt modeling and GIS to analyze species occurrence records and climate data.

Limitations

The study only considered climatic conditions and did not account for other factors like soil conditions and agricultural practices.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.92

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41017

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