Estimating health-adjusted life expectancy conditional on risk factors: results for smoking and obesity
2006

Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy and Risk Factors

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Pieter HM van Baal, Rudolf T Hoogenveen, G Ardine de Wit, Hendriek C Boshuizen

Primary Institution: National Institute for Public Health and the Environment

Hypothesis

Does prevention of obesity and smoking result in compression of morbidity?

Conclusion

Successful prevention of smoking and obesity can increase life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy, but does not lead to substantial compression of morbidity.

Supporting Evidence

  • Health-adjusted life expectancy is highest for 'healthy living' individuals.
  • Differences in health-adjusted life expectancy between smoking and obese cohorts compared to healthy living are significant.
  • Successful prevention of smoking and obesity does not lead to absolute compression of morbidity.

Takeaway

If people stop smoking and lose weight, they can live longer and healthier, but it doesn't mean they will have fewer years of illness.

Methodology

A dynamic population model was used to estimate life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy for different cohorts based on smoking and obesity.

Potential Biases

Potential biases may arise from not distinguishing between light and heavy smokers and treating BMI as a categorical variable.

Limitations

The study assumes no transitions between risk factor classes over time and relies on several assumptions regarding disease prevalence and mortality.

Participant Demographics

Cohorts included smokers, non-smoking obese individuals, and 'healthy living' individuals, all aged 20.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1186/1478-7954-4-14

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