Human papillomavirus infection in women who develop high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or cervical cancer: a case–control study in the UK
2005

HPV and Cervical Neoplasia in Women

Sample size: 1155 publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Grainge M J, Seth R, Coupland C, Guo L, Rittman T, Vryenhoef P, Johnson J, Jenkins D, Neal K R

Primary Institution: University of Nottingham Medical School

Hypothesis

Can HPV testing predict the development of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or cervical cancer in women?

Conclusion

The study found that HPV significantly predicts the development of high-grade cervical disease an average of 6.8 years later.

Supporting Evidence

  • 27.0% of cases tested positive for HPV at baseline compared to 15.4% of controls.
  • HPV+ women had a two-fold increase in the risk of developing an outcome lesion.
  • For women aged 40 years or over, the odds ratio for HPV 16 was 8.95.

Takeaway

This study shows that women who test positive for HPV are more likely to develop serious cervical problems later on.

Methodology

A case-control study was conducted with 575 cases and 601 controls, using HPV testing on archived cervical smears.

Potential Biases

Potential misclassification of controls as disease-free could bias results.

Limitations

The study relied on archived smears, which may have resulted in underestimation of HPV infection rates.

Participant Demographics

Women aged under 20, 20-39, and 40 years or over, with a focus on older women.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.05

Confidence Interval

95% CI, 1.50–2.68

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/sj.bjc.6602538

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