Expression profiling to predict the clinical behaviour of ovarian cancer fails independent evaluation
2008

Evaluating Gene Expression Models for Ovarian Cancer

Sample size: 49 publication Evidence: low

Author Information

Author(s): Gevaert Olivier, De Smet Frank, Van Gorp Toon, Pochet Nathalie, Engelen Kristof, Amant Frederic, De Moor Bart, Timmerman Dirk, Vergote Ignace

Primary Institution: Katholieke Universiteit Leuven

Hypothesis

Can gene expression analysis reliably predict the clinical behavior of ovarian cancer in an independent patient cohort?

Conclusion

The study found that existing gene expression models for predicting response to platin-based chemotherapy in ovarian cancer need further validation, as they did not perform well in an independent evaluation.

Supporting Evidence

  • The pilot study showed 100% accuracy in predicting advanced stage disease.
  • The independent evaluation did not confirm the pilot study's results.
  • Models based on previously published gene sets did not perform significantly better than chance.

Takeaway

This study looked at whether tests based on gene patterns could help predict how ovarian cancer would behave, but the tests didn't work as well as hoped when tried on new patients.

Methodology

The study used microarray analysis and statistical methods including PCA and LS-SVM on tumor samples from 49 patients.

Potential Biases

Potential overfitting of models due to the small sample size and high dimensionality of gene expression data.

Limitations

The models were not able to predict platin resistance effectively, and the independent data set did not match the pilot study's characteristics.

Participant Demographics

The independent data set included 4 stage I, 30 platin-sensitive advanced stage, and 15 platin-resistant advanced stage ovarian cancer patients.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.12

Confidence Interval

19%–99%

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1186/1471-2407-8-18

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