CA19-9 as a prognostic factor in inoperable pancreatic cancer: the implication for clinical trials
2005

CA19-9 as a Prognostic Factor in Pancreatic Cancer

Sample size: 154 publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Maisey N R, Norman A R, Hill A, Massey A, Oates J, Cunningham D

Primary Institution: Royal Marsden Hospital

Hypothesis

Does CA19-9 provide prognostic information in patients with inoperable pancreatic cancer treated with systemic chemotherapy?

Conclusion

Baseline CA19-9 levels are an important independent prognostic factor for overall survival in patients with inoperable pancreatic cancer receiving chemotherapy.

Supporting Evidence

  • Baseline CA19-9 above or below the median value was found to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival.
  • A fall of 20% in CA19-9 level at first measurement following the start of treatment was also an independent prognostic factor for overall survival.
  • The median overall survival was significantly longer for patients with baseline CA19-9 below the median compared to those above.

Takeaway

Doctors can use a blood test called CA19-9 to help predict how long someone with pancreatic cancer might live after treatment.

Methodology

Retrospective analysis of patients treated with gemcitabine and/or 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy in phase III trials.

Limitations

The study is based on a relatively small cohort of 154 patients.

Participant Demographics

Median age was 63 years, with 62.8% male and varying disease extent.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.0004

Confidence Interval

1.3–2.5

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/sj.bjc.6602760

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