Climate Change and Coffee Berry Borer in East Africa
Author Information
Author(s): Jaramillo Juliana, Muchugu Eric, Vega Fernando E., Davis Aaron, Borgemeister Christian, Chabi-Olaye Adenirin
Primary Institution: Institute of Plant Diseases and Plant Protection, University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany
Hypothesis
How will climate change affect the distribution and impact of the coffee berry borer in East Africa?
Conclusion
Climate change is expected to worsen the situation for coffee production in East Africa due to increased prevalence of the coffee berry borer.
Supporting Evidence
- The coffee berry borer is now found at higher altitudes due to rising temperatures.
- Predictions indicate that the number of generations of the coffee berry borer will increase significantly.
- Climate change is expected to reduce suitable areas for coffee production in East Africa.
Takeaway
As the Earth gets warmer, a tiny bug that eats coffee beans is spreading and causing more damage, which is bad news for coffee farmers.
Methodology
The study used the CLIMEX model to predict future distributions of the coffee berry borer based on current climate data and future climate scenarios.
Limitations
The model's predictions are based on available climate data, which may be insufficient in some areas.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
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