Infectious diseases, climate influences, and nonstationarity
2006

Climate and Cutaneous Leishmaniasis

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Bernard Cazelles, Simon Hales

Primary Institution: Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Ecole Normale Supérieure, Paris, France

Hypothesis

Is there a relationship between climatic variables and the dynamics of cutaneous leishmaniasis?

Conclusion

The study found a strong association between climate variables, particularly El Niño, and the dynamics of cutaneous leishmaniasis.

Supporting Evidence

  • The study illustrates a clear relationship between climatic variables and the dynamics of cutaneous leishmaniasis.
  • El Niño was found to be a better predictor of disease than local temperature.
  • The dynamics of cutaneous leishmaniasis evolve coherently with climatic variables including temperature and El Niño indices.

Takeaway

The weather can affect how often people get a skin disease called cutaneous leishmaniasis, and scientists can use this information to predict outbreaks.

Methodology

The study used mathematical tools to analyze the relationship between climate and disease dynamics.

Limitations

The study may not account for all factors influencing disease dynamics.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pmed.0030328

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