Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the holocene
2024

Global Mean Sea Level Higher During the Holocene

Sample size: 10253 publication Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Roger C. Creel, Jacqueline Austermann, Robert E. Kopp, Nicole S. Khan, Torsten Albrecht, Jonathan Kingslake

Primary Institution: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

Hypothesis

Did global mean sea level exceed early industrial levels during the Holocene?

Conclusion

The study suggests that global mean sea level was likely higher than present during the Holocene.

Supporting Evidence

  • Evidence suggests that Antarctic ice volume was likely smaller than present after 3.9 ka.
  • Global mean sea level reached 0.24 m above present by 3.2 ka.
  • Future sea level rise will likely exceed Holocene levels by 2060.

Takeaway

Scientists found that sea levels were probably higher than they are now a long time ago, during a warm period called the Holocene.

Methodology

The study merged sea-level data with models to estimate Holocene global mean sea level and Antarctic ice volume.

Potential Biases

Potential biases from limited data coverage in certain regions.

Limitations

The study may not account for all local processes affecting sea level.

Statistical Information

Confidence Interval

−3.3 to 1.0 m

Statistical Significance

p=0.75

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/s41467-024-54535-0

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