Asymptotic Properties of Matthews Correlation Coefficient
2024

Understanding the Matthews Correlation Coefficient

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Itaya Yuki, Tamura Jun, Hayashi Kenichi, Yamamoto Kouji

Primary Institution: Keio University

Hypothesis

How can we improve the statistical inference of the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) for better evaluation of classifier performance?

Conclusion

The study introduces methods for constructing asymptotic confidence intervals for the Matthews correlation coefficient, enhancing its reliability in evaluating classifier performance.

Supporting Evidence

  • The Matthews correlation coefficient is a reliable metric for evaluating classifier performance, especially in imbalanced datasets.
  • Simulations showed that the Fisher's z method outperformed the Simple method for deriving confidence intervals.
  • Real data analysis demonstrated the practical utility of the proposed methods in comparing binary classifiers.

Takeaway

This study helps us understand how to better measure the performance of classifiers using a special score called the Matthews correlation coefficient, which is really good at handling tricky situations where some classes are much bigger than others.

Methodology

The paper evaluates methods for constructing asymptotic confidence intervals for the MCC using simulations and real data analysis.

Potential Biases

Potential biases in the MCC may arise from imbalanced datasets and reliance on specific metrics.

Limitations

The study primarily focuses on binary classification and does not address multi-class scenarios.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1002/sim.10303

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