Prediction of Pathologic Complete Response in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using Preoperative Serum Small Ribonucleic Acid Obtained After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
2025

Predicting Pathologic Complete Response in Esophageal Cancer Using Blood RNA

Sample size: 99 publication Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Hirohata Ryosuke MD, Yamamoto Yuki PhD, Mimae Takahiro MD, PhD, Hamai Yoichi MD, PhD, Ibuki Yuta MD, PhD, Takahashi Ryou-u PhD, Okada Morihito MD, PhD

Primary Institution: Hiroshima University

Hypothesis

Small ribonucleic acid (sRNA) obtained from blood samples after neoadjuvant therapy could serve as a novel biomarker for predicting pathologic complete response (pCR).

Conclusion

A predictive model using preoperative clinical factors and sRNA can effectively predict pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Supporting Evidence

  • 30 out of 99 patients achieved pathologic complete response after treatment.
  • The predictive model had an area under the curve of 0.84.
  • Clinical factors such as decrease in maximum standardized uptake value were significant predictors.

Takeaway

Doctors can use a special test on blood samples to help figure out if a patient with esophageal cancer will respond well to treatment before surgery.

Methodology

Next-generation sequencing was used to analyze sRNAs from blood samples collected from patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Potential Biases

Potential bias due to the lack of blood samples before treatment and the inability to verify the source of sRNA.

Limitations

The study was a single-center retrospective study with a relatively small sample size.

Participant Demographics

Patients treated with esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy between March 2010 and October 2021.

Statistical Information

P-Value

< 0.001

Confidence Interval

95 % confidence interval 8.1–987.5

Statistical Significance

p<0.001

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1245/s10434-024-16247-z

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