Analysis on the spatiotemporal pattern and driving force of the spatial deviation index of grain and economy in counties in China
2024

Study of Grain Economy and Economic Development in China

Sample size: 2018 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Chen Jia, Zhang Kuan

Primary Institution: Southwest Jiaotong University, Sichuan Agricultural University

Hypothesis

How does the spatial deviation index of grain economy relate to economic development in China?

Conclusion

The study found that economic development negatively impacts the spatial deviation index of grain economy, indicating a need for tailored policies to balance economic growth and grain production.

Supporting Evidence

  • From 2000 to 2019, the spatial deviation index of grain economy showed a trend of 'up—down—up'.
  • The highest spatial deviation index was found in Northeast China, while the lowest was in East China.
  • Population density and industrial structure positively and negatively impact the spatial deviation index.

Takeaway

This study looks at how grain production and economic growth in China affect each other, showing that when the economy grows, it can sometimes hurt grain production.

Methodology

The study used panel data from 2000 to 2019 and employed methods like the standard deviation ellipse method and geographically weighted regression.

Potential Biases

Potential bias due to reliance on secondary data sources and the limitations of the indicators used.

Limitations

The study only used two indicators to calculate the spatial deviation index, which may oversimplify the analysis.

Participant Demographics

The study focused on 2018 county-level units across 31 provinces in China.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.05

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pone.0306970

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