Spatial and temporal clustering of dengue virus transmission in Thai villages
2008

Clustering of Dengue in Thai Villages

Sample size: 556 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Mammen Mammen P Jr., Pimgate Chusak, Koenraadt Constantianus J. M, Rothman Alan L, Aldstadt Jared, Nisalak Ananda, Jarman Richard G, Jones James W, Srikiatkhachorn Anon, Ypil-Butac Charity Ann, Getis Arthur, Thammapalo Suwich, Morrison Amy C, Libraty Daniel H, Green Sharone, Scott Thomas W

Primary Institution: Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand

Hypothesis

DENV transmission is spatially and temporally focal.

Conclusion

DENV transmission is highly localized in rural Thailand, suggesting targeted interventions could be effective.

Supporting Evidence

  • All 27 DENV infections occurred in positive clusters.
  • 12.4% of enrollees in positive clusters became infected within 15 days.
  • Only 0.8% of collected mosquitoes were dengue-infected, all from positive clusters.
  • Greater availability of piped water was found in negative clusters.

Takeaway

Dengue spreads mostly in small areas near infected people, so checking schools and spraying nearby homes can help stop it.

Methodology

Cluster investigations were conducted within 100 m of homes of febrile children to assess DENV transmission.

Potential Biases

Potential bias due to reliance on serologic evidence and not accounting for adult contributions to transmission.

Limitations

Not all children and mosquitoes were sampled, and serotype characterization was limited.

Participant Demographics

Children aged 6 months to 15 years from rural Thai villages.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.01

Confidence Interval

95% confidence interval 1–19.8 per 100

Statistical Significance

p<0.01

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pmed.0050205

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