A primary care level algorithm for identifying HIV-infected adolescents in populations at high risk through mother-to-child transmission
2011

Algorithm to Identify HIV-Infected Adolescents

Sample size: 506 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Ferrand Rashida A, Weiss Helen A, Nathoo Kusum, Ndhlovu Chiratidzo E, Mungofa Stanley, Munyati Shungu, Bandason Tsitsi, Gibb Diana M, Corbett Elizabeth L

Primary Institution: London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Hypothesis

Can a simple algorithm help primary care workers identify HIV-infected adolescents at high risk through mother-to-child transmission?

Conclusion

The algorithm can accurately identify adolescents likely to be HIV infected, serving as a useful screening tool in settings without universal testing.

Supporting Evidence

  • HIV prevalence was found to be 17% among the participants.
  • The algorithm achieved 74% sensitivity and 80% specificity for identifying HIV.
  • Using the algorithm could reduce the number of tests needed to find one HIV-positive individual by 60% in low-prevalence settings.
  • Orphanhood, hospitalization, recurrent skin problems, STI presentation, and poor functional ability were linked to higher HIV risk.
  • The algorithm correctly predicted the HIV status of 79% of participants.
  • The study was approved by multiple ethics committees.
  • Data was collected systematically and prospectively.

Takeaway

This study created a simple checklist to help doctors find teenagers who might have HIV, making it easier to test them.

Methodology

The study involved 506 adolescents aged 10-18 from two clinics in Harare, Zimbabwe, using a training set to develop an algorithm and a test set to evaluate its performance.

Potential Biases

Potential bias due to the retrospective nature of clinical history collection.

Limitations

The algorithm's performance may vary in different populations and relies on retrospective data collection, which could introduce recall bias.

Participant Demographics

Adolescents aged 10-18 years attending primary care clinics in Harare, Zimbabwe.

Statistical Information

P-Value

<0.001

Confidence Interval

95% CI: 64%–82%

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1111/j.1365-3156.2010.02708.x

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