EVIDENCE THAT TOMORROW’S OLDER POPULATION WILL BE LESS FIT THAN TODAY: A NATIONAL STUDY, 2003–2022
2024

Future Health of Older Adults

Sample size: 7000000 publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Rehkopf David, Furstenberg Frank, Jackson Christian, Rowe John

Primary Institution: Stanford University

Hypothesis

How have physical and mental health trends changed for different income levels among older adults from 2003 to 2022?

Conclusion

The current population aged 50 to 59 will enter retirement with worse health than previous generations, especially among lower-income groups.

Supporting Evidence

  • There are dramatic differences in health outcomes by income level.
  • Lower-income groups experienced increases in days with bad health.
  • The trends are most notable in individuals aged 50 to 59.

Takeaway

Older people today might be less healthy when they retire compared to those who retired in the past, especially if they have less money.

Methodology

Analysis of self-reported health data from over seven million individuals using the CDC Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.

Limitations

Trends were not explained by race, BMI, or smoking, and there are substantial differences across U.S. States.

Participant Demographics

Data includes individuals from various income levels across the U.S.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1093/geroni/igae098.2874

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