Trends in Smoking-Related Peptic Ulcer Disease Deaths
Author Information
Author(s): Li Hao, Shi Qi, Chen Caiyun, Li Ju, Wang Kai
Primary Institution: The Affiliated Huaian No.1 People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University
Hypothesis
This study aims to analyze global trends in smoking-attributable PUD mortality from 1990 to 2021 and project future trends to 2046.
Conclusion
Global smoking-attributable PUD mortality has significantly decreased and is projected to continue declining, but substantial regional disparities persist.
Supporting Evidence
- Global smoking-attributable PUD deaths decreased from 48,900 to 29,400 from 1990 to 2021.
- The age-standardized mortality rate dropped from 1.2 to 0.3 per 100,000.
- High-income regions showed faster declines in smoking-attributable PUD mortality.
Takeaway
Smoking makes people sick with stomach ulcers, but fewer people are dying from this now. However, some places still have a lot of problems with it.
Methodology
Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, calculating age-standardized mortality rates and using Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort models for projections.
Limitations
Data quality may be suboptimal for some countries, and the model may not fully capture future uncertainties or the impact of emerging tobacco products.
Statistical Information
P-Value
0.148
Statistical Significance
p=0.148
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
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