Decrease of CA 19–9 during chemotherapy with gemcitabine predicts survival time in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer
2000

CA 19-9 Levels and Survival in Pancreatic Cancer

Sample size: 43 publication Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Halm U, Schumann T, Schiefke I, Witzigmann H, Mössner J, Keim V

Primary Institution: University of Leipzig

Hypothesis

Does a decrease in CA 19-9 levels during chemotherapy with gemcitabine predict survival time in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer?

Conclusion

A decrease of CA 19-9 greater than 20% during the first weeks of chemotherapy with gemcitabine is associated with better survival in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

Supporting Evidence

  • Patients with a decrease of CA 19-9 > 20% had a median survival of 268 days.
  • Patients with a rise or a decrease ≤ 20% had a median survival of 110 days.
  • CA 19-9 response was the strongest independent predictor of survival.

Takeaway

If a blood test shows that a certain marker (CA 19-9) goes down after starting treatment for pancreatic cancer, it means the patient is likely to live longer.

Methodology

Forty-three patients with advanced pancreatic cancer were treated with gemcitabine, and CA 19-9 levels were measured to assess their relationship with survival.

Participant Demographics

Median age 61 years (range 39–76 years); 20 males and 23 females.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.001

Statistical Significance

p<0.001

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1054/bjoc.1999.1035

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