Recruitment Variability in North Atlantic Cod and Match-Mismatch Dynamics
2011

Match-Mismatch Dynamics and Fish Recruitment

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Kristiansen Trond, Drinkwater Kenneth F., Lough R. Gregory, Sundby Svein

Primary Institution: Institute of Marine Research and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway

Hypothesis

The study investigates how match-mismatch dynamics affect the survival of larval cod populations in relation to environmental factors.

Conclusion

The duration of overlap between larval fish and prey abundance is crucial for enhancing survival, especially during warm years.

Supporting Evidence

  • Survival rates of larval cod increased significantly during warm years.
  • The importance of match-mismatch dynamics increased with latitude.
  • Cumulative survival was more critical than the timing of peak prey abundance.

Takeaway

This study shows that for baby fish to survive, they need to find food at the right time, and warmer years help them find food longer.

Methodology

The study used empirical observations, a mechanistic individual-based model, and ocean temperature data from 1960 to 2002 to estimate larval cod survival.

Limitations

The model did not include all factors affecting larval fish growth and survival, such as shifts in prey species composition.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p=0.0016

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pone.0017456

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