Randomised controlled trial of mammographic screening in women from age 40: predicted mortality based on surrogate outcome measures
2005

Mammography Screening for Women Aged 40-41

Sample size: 160921 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Sue Moss, Margaret Waller, T J Anderson, H Cuckle

Primary Institution: Cancer Screening Evaluation Unit, Institute of Cancer Research

Hypothesis

Does annual mammographic screening from age 40 reduce breast cancer mortality?

Conclusion

The study suggests that screening from age 40 may lead to a smaller reduction in breast cancer mortality than previously observed in other trials.

Supporting Evidence

  • An 8% excess of invasive breast cancers was found in the intervention arm.
  • The predicted reduction in breast cancer mortality was between 10% and 11%.
  • Uptake of screening invitations was around 70%.

Takeaway

This study looked at whether inviting women aged 40 to get mammograms helps them live longer by catching breast cancer early. It found that the benefit might not be as big as expected.

Methodology

The trial randomized 160,921 women into intervention and control groups to compare breast cancer mortality based on screening.

Potential Biases

Potential overdiagnosis due to earlier detection in the intervention group.

Limitations

The study relies on surrogate outcome measures and has uncertainties regarding the actual mortality reduction.

Participant Demographics

Women aged 40-41 at entry, with a total of 160,921 participants.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.89 (0.79–1.00)

Confidence Interval

95% CI 0.78–1.01

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/sj.bjc.6602395

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