Trends in breast cancer incidence in Hong Kong between 1973 and 1999: an age-period-cohort analysis
2002

Breast Cancer Trends in Hong Kong (1973-1999)

Sample size: 26479 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Leung G M, Thach T Q, Lam T-H, Hedley A J, Foo W, Fielding R, Yip P S F, Lau E M C, Wong C-M

Primary Institution: University of Hong Kong

Hypothesis

Can the difference in breast cancer incidence between Caucasian women and their Chinese counterparts be explained by lifestyle and behavioral factors?

Conclusion

The study found that breast cancer incidence in Hong Kong has been increasing, primarily due to cohort effects linked to westernization.

Supporting Evidence

  • The average annual percent change of breast cancer incidence was 3.6% from 1973 to 1999.
  • Incidence rates increased across all age groups except for those aged 60-69.
  • Most of the observed changes in incidence rates were attributed to cohort effects.

Takeaway

Breast cancer rates in Hong Kong are going up, especially among younger women, likely because of lifestyle changes as the region becomes more westernized.

Methodology

The study analyzed breast cancer incidence data from the Hong Kong Cancer Registry using age-period-cohort modeling.

Potential Biases

Bias due to under-reporting in earlier periods and the voluntary nature of cancer notification.

Limitations

The completeness of cancer registration may have been less reliable in earlier years, potentially affecting the data.

Participant Demographics

The study focused on women diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in Hong Kong.

Statistical Information

P-Value

<0.001

Confidence Interval

95%

Statistical Significance

p<0.001

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/sj.bjc.6600583

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