Impact of scale on the effectiveness of disease control strategies for epidemics with cryptic infection in a dynamical landscape: an example for a crop disease
2007

Effectiveness of Disease Control Strategies for Crop Disease

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Gilligan Christopher A, Truscott James E, Stacey Adrian J

Primary Institution: Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge

Hypothesis

Can the disease be managed by movement of susceptibles in the landscape?

Conclusion

The study concludes that matching the scales of local control strategies is crucial to prevent the spread of crop diseases like rhizomania.

Supporting Evidence

  • A simple field-scale containment strategy fails due to the lag behind the epidemic.
  • A farm-scale strategy succeeds by allowing growers to respond to disease status of neighboring farms.
  • Partially resistant varieties reduce but do not eliminate disease spread.

Takeaway

This study shows that to stop crop diseases, farmers need to work together and move their crops around based on where the disease is spreading.

Methodology

A spatially explicit, stochastic model was used to analyze the effectiveness of different scales of local control strategies.

Limitations

The model may not account for all real-world complexities of disease spread and control.

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1098/rsif.2007.1019

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