Identification and validation of a machine learning model of complete response to radiation in rectal cancer reveals immune infiltrate and TGFβ as key predictors
2024

Machine Learning Model Predicts Response to Radiation in Rectal Cancer

Sample size: 249 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Domingo Enric, Rathee Sanjay, Blake Andrew, Samuel Leslie, Murray Graeme, Sebag-Montefiore David, Gollins Simon, West Nicholas, Begum Rubina, Richman Susan, Quirke Phil, Redmond Keara, Chatzipli Aikaterini, Barberis Alessandro, Hassanieh Sylvana, Mahmood Umair, Youdell Michael, McDermott Ultan, Koelzer Viktor, Leedham Simon, Tomlinson Ian, Dunne Philip

Primary Institution: University of Oxford

Hypothesis

What biological features predict the response of rectal cancer to radiotherapy?

Conclusion

Rectal cancers that respond completely to radiotherapy have immune activation characteristics and low TGFβ signaling, which can be identified using a 33-gene expression signature.

Supporting Evidence

  • Three gene expression sets were significantly associated with complete response to radiotherapy.
  • The machine learning model showed 90% sensitivity and 86% specificity in predicting response.
  • Biological and machine learning signatures indicated similar mechanisms underlying radiation response.

Takeaway

Doctors can use a special test to see if rectal cancer patients will respond well to radiation treatment, helping them choose the best care.

Methodology

The study analyzed pre-treatment biopsies from two cohorts of rectal cancer patients using machine learning and biological profiling to identify predictors of complete response to radiotherapy.

Potential Biases

Potential biases from sample selection and the need for batch correction in data analysis.

Limitations

The study is limited to patients treated with long course chemoradiotherapy and may not apply to other treatment regimens.

Participant Demographics

Patients with rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p=0.0006

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1016/j.ebiom.2024.105228

Want to read the original?

Access the complete publication on the publisher's website

View Original Publication