Prospective Analysis of Traffic Exposure as a Risk Factor for Incident Coronary Heart Disease: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study
2008

Traffic Exposure and Heart Disease Risk

Sample size: 13309 publication 10 minutes Evidence: high

Author Information

Author(s): Kan Haidong, Heiss Gerardo, Rose Kathryn M., Whitsel Eric A., Lurmann Fred, London Stephanie J.

Primary Institution: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences

Hypothesis

Does long-term exposure to traffic increase the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD)?

Conclusion

Higher long-term exposure to traffic is associated with an increased risk of developing coronary heart disease.

Supporting Evidence

  • Over an average of 13 years of follow-up, 976 subjects developed CHD.
  • The adjusted hazard ratio for the highest quartile of traffic density was 1.32.
  • Traffic exposure was assessed using GIS-mapped traffic density and distance to major roads.
  • Participants were followed for incident CHD until December 2002.

Takeaway

Living near busy roads can make you more likely to have heart problems as you get older.

Methodology

The study followed 13,309 middle-aged participants over 13 years, assessing traffic exposure using geographic information systems and analyzing incident CHD with proportional hazards regression models.

Potential Biases

Potential selection bias due to missing geocode data for some participants.

Limitations

The study could not validate exposure assessments with actual measurements and lacked data on other sources of pollutants.

Participant Demographics

Middle-aged men and women from four U.S. communities, with a mix of ethnicities including a 100% African American sample in Jackson, Mississippi.

Statistical Information

P-Value

0.006

Confidence Interval

95% CI, 1.01–1.05

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1289/ehp.11290

Want to read the original?

Access the complete publication on the publisher's website

View Original Publication