Risk of subsequent invasive breast carcinoma after in situ breast carcinoma in a population covered by national mammographic screening
2005

Risk of Invasive Breast Cancer After In Situ Carcinoma

Sample size: 3802 publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Rawal R, Bermejo J Lorenzo, Hemminki K

Primary Institution: German Cancer Research Center

Hypothesis

What is the risk of developing invasive breast cancer after being diagnosed with in situ breast carcinoma?

Conclusion

Women with in situ breast cancer have a significantly increased risk of developing invasive breast cancer, especially if diagnosed before age 50.

Supporting Evidence

  • Women with in situ breast cancer showed a relative risk of 2.03 for contralateral and 3.94 for ipsilateral invasive breast cancer.
  • The risk was higher for in situ carcinomas diagnosed before the age of 50 years.
  • The incidence of invasive ductal cancer increased from 46.8 to 66.1/100,000 between 1993 and 2000.

Takeaway

If a woman has a type of breast cancer that hasn't spread, she is more likely to get a more serious type of breast cancer later on, especially if she is younger.

Methodology

The study used the Swedish Family-Cancer Database to analyze the risk of invasive breast cancer following in situ carcinoma, employing Poisson regression analysis.

Potential Biases

The study may be affected by treatment and follow-up differences that complicate the epidemiology of second breast cancers.

Limitations

Information on confounders such as treatment received and tumor size was not available.

Participant Demographics

The study included a population of five million women in Sweden.

Statistical Information

Confidence Interval

95% CI

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1038/sj.bjc.6602250

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