A Tissue Biomarker Panel Predicting Systemic Progression after PSA Recurrence Post-Definitive Prostate Cancer Therapy
2008

A Prostate Cancer Marker Panel

Sample size: 639 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Nakagawa Tohru, Kollmeyer Thomas M., Morlan Bruce W., Anderson S. Keith, Bergstralh Eric J., Davis Brian J., Asmann Yan W., Klee George G., Ballman Karla V., Jenkins Robert B.

Primary Institution: Mayo Clinic

Hypothesis

An expression biomarker panel can predict which men with a rising PSA would benefit from further therapy.

Conclusion

Specific gene expression patterns are significantly associated with systemic progression after PSA recurrence.

Supporting Evidence

  • The model generated an AUC of 0.88.
  • Genes mapped to 8q24 were significantly enriched in the model.
  • The model predicted prostate cancer death with a hazard ratio of 2.5.

Takeaway

Researchers created a test to see which men with rising PSA levels after prostate cancer treatment might need more therapy, based on their gene patterns.

Methodology

A nested case-control study design was used to test the association of gene expression with outcome, evaluating 1021 cancer-related genes.

Potential Biases

The study may have biases related to the selection of cases and controls from a single institution.

Limitations

The accuracy of the model decreased when tested on a validation set, indicating potential overfitting.

Participant Demographics

Men who underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy for prostate cancer, with a median age of 67.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.0005

Confidence Interval

95% CI: 0.84–0.92

Statistical Significance

p<0.0005

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1371/journal.pone.0002318

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